{"id":16587,"date":"2017-06-05T12:19:06","date_gmt":"2017-06-05T02:19:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/?page_id=16587"},"modified":"2023-10-06T13:55:03","modified_gmt":"2023-10-06T02:55:03","slug":"public-finance-to-indonesian-coal","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/research\/indonesia\/public-finance-to-indonesian-coal\/","title":{"rendered":"Public finance to Indonesian coal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#cd0304&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;4px||2px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; global_module=&#8221;72786&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; max_width=&#8221;75%&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.20.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; header_3_font=&#8221;Inter|800|||||||&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||8px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">ARCHIVED CONTENT<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.22.1&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font=&#8221;Poppins||||||||&#8221; text_text_color=&#8221;#FFFFFF&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;16px&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>This content is no longer being updated.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; background_image=&#8221;https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Adaro-Tutupan.jpg&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||3px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; custom_padding__hover=&#8221;|||&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; header_font=&#8221;|800||on|||||&#8221; header_text_color=&#8221;#FFFFFF&#8221; header_font_size=&#8221;3em&#8221; header_text_shadow_style=&#8221;preset1&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h1>Foreign finance to Indonesian coal<\/h1>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_text_color=&#8221;#FFFFFF&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;1.5em&#8221; link_font=&#8221;|600|||||||&#8221; link_text_color=&#8221;#FFFFFF&#8221; link_text_shadow_style=&#8221;preset1&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#overview\">Overview<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#research\">Public finance plays a critical role<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#foreign\">Foreign interests = foreign finance<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#CJK\">The motivation for China, Japan and Korea<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#Examples\">Examples<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#Cirebon2\">Banking without a permit: Cirebon 2<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#Pain\">Indonesian pain for foreign gain<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#NewCoal\">New coal, not necessary<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#methodology\">methodology<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px|||||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_row module_id=&#8221;overview&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>The foreign financial sources behind Indonesia\u2019s unnecessary coal expansion<\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The finance behind Indonesia\u2019s plans to build up to 31 gigawatts of new coal power capacity is overwhelmingly from foreign sources, most notably China, Japan and Korea. Public institutions such as export credit agencies play a critical role in de-risking coal power projects. They shoulder a significant burden of the credit exposure for new Indonesian coal power stations to the point where such projects would be unlikely to proceed without foreign government-backed\u00a0finance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Summary:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>This analysis reviewed deals comprising debt finance to 21 coal power projects with a combined capacity of 13.1GW, which reached financial close from January 2010 to March 2017.<\/li>\n<li>Export Credit Agencies participated in 64% of deals and loaned 45% of total debt.<\/li>\n<li>Bilateral Development Banks participated in 27% of deals, lending 19% of overall debt.<\/li>\n<li>The power plants studies were majority foreign owned. 51% of the overall project value was owned by Japanese and Chinese companies, with\u00a039% Indonesian-owned.<\/li>\n<li>Indonesia bears much of the financial, environmental and health risk associated with these new plants, many of which will exacerbate oversupply of the electricity networks in which they&#8217;re to be integrated.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">China, Japan and Korea are constraining domestic plans to expand coal power. As a result, export markets for plant manufacturers are becoming increasingly important. Indonesia&#8217;s <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">coal expansion plans present an opportunity for foreign manufacturers producers, able to mobilise public finance sources to facilitate the export of their technology.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The result is an expansion of polluting power that benefits a handful of domestic and foreign interests, while putting the health and livelihoods of communities at risk. Constructing these new power stations would also contribute to an anticipated oversupply of power in Indonesia, further undermining their justification.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;1_2,1_2&#8243; module_id=&#8221;research&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>Public finance plays a critical role<\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Market Forces studied a total of 22 deals to the coal power sector in Indonesia since 2010, which attracted a total of US$17.1 billion of debt. Of these, Export Credit Agencies (ECAs) and Bilateral Development Banks were integral\u00a0financiers, involved in 91% of the deals and providing 64% of the debt finance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Specifically, regarding the roles of ECAs, Bilateral Development Banks and commercial banks: <\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>ECAs were involved in 14 of 22 deals, lending $7.64 billion<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Almost all of this debt (99.6%)\u00a0was provided by overseas ECAs<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) was involved in 5 deals, providing 64% of ECA lending<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Export-Import Bank of China (CEXIM) was involved in 7 deals, representing 31% of ECA loans<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Bilateral Development Banks were involved in 6 deals, lending $3.30 billion<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">China Development Bank was involved in 5 deals, lending 93% of Bilateral Development Bank debt<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Korea Development Bank participated in 1 deal, providing 7% of Bilateral Development Bank debt<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Commercial banks were involved in 13 deals, providing $6.14 billion<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">95% of commercial debt was provided from banks outside of Indonesia<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57% of commercial debt was provided by Japanese banks over 7 deals<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14% of commercial debt was provided by Chinese banks over 4 deals<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10% of commercial debt was provided by Singaporean banks over 5 deals<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Indonesia\u2019s share of lending to these deals was exceedingly small, accounting for just $347 million or 2% of overall debt over 2 deals. One of these deals involved Indonesia Eximbank and the other involved Bank Mandiri. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color=&#8221;rgba(67,50,68,0.1)&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||21px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><b>Total<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>ECA \/ Bilateral Development Bank involvement<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>No. coal power deals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">22<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">91% (20 deals)<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Total lending value<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$17.1 billion<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">64% ($10.9 billion)<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><small>Table: Number of coal deals and value of debt identified in this study, with involvement of export credit agencies (ECA) and Bilateral Development Banks highlighted.<\/small><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#d8d8d8&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||-2px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h5>Finance sources for Indonesian coal power January 2010 &#8211; March 2017<\/h5>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Lending-source.png&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Lending source&#8221; force_fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row module_id=&#8221;foreign&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#d8d8d8&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>Foreign ownership + foreign engineers = foreign finance<\/h3>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;1_2,1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px|||||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>&lt;span style=&#8221;font-weight: 400;&#8221;&gt;The overwhelming proportion\u00a0of finance coming from sources foreign to Indonesia is a product of the power stations being predominantly owned by non-Indonesian countries, and almost exclusively built by engineering contractors from outside of Indonesia. &lt;\/span&gt;<\/p>\n<p>&lt;span style=&#8221;font-weight: 400;&#8221;&gt;Of the 13.1GW of coal power capacity covered by this analysis, 51% was owned by Japanese and Chinese companies, with 39% Indonesian ownership. Indonesia\u2019s state-owned utility PLN had an overall ownership stake in the projects studied of 15%, with other Indonesian companies owning 24%.&lt;\/span&gt;<\/p>\n<p>&lt;span style=&#8221;font-weight: 400;&#8221;&gt;Of the 4 power projects involving Japanese sponsors, all attracted Japanese ECA guarantees and loans. Japanese engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors were involved in 3 of these projects. Japanese EPCs were involved in 4 power projects in total, including one sponsored by Indonesia\u2019s PLN.&lt;\/span&gt;<\/p>\n<p>&lt;span style=&#8221;font-weight: 400;&#8221;&gt;Of the 7 power projects backed by Chinese sponsors, 6 attracted loans from Chinese public finance institutions, 4 attracted Chinese commercial lending and all attracted lending from either one or the other (or both). At least 5 of these 7 projects involved Chinese EPCs, whilst the identity of the EPCs was unclear for the remaining 2. Chinese EPCs were prevalent, involved in 13 of the 21 coal power projects studied.&lt;\/span&gt;<\/p>\n<p>&lt;span style=&#8221;font-weight: 400;&#8221;&gt;4 of the 21 power projects studied had no Chinese or Japanese EPC involvement. 2 involved Korean EPCs and 2 involved Indonesian EPCs (&lt;a href=&#8221;http:\/\/www.dcengineering.asia\/dnc-new\/index.php?about&#8221;&gt;one of these Indonesian EPCs partners with a Chinese EPC for technical support&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/span&gt;&lt;span style=&#8221;font-weight: 400;&#8221;&gt;). Another 2\u00a0plants employed unknown EPCs, though it\u2019s suspected these were Chinese as both were sponsored by Chinese companies and attracted all known finance from Chinese banks.&lt;\/span&gt;<\/p>\n<p>&lt;span style=&#8221;font-weight: 400;&#8221;&gt;Foreign commercial banks tend to play the role of completing a syndicate that is largely de-risked and underwritten by the ECA\u00a0of the same country. Of the 11 coal power deals with both commercial and public bank lending, 9 involved commercial and public banks from the same country. Only 2\u00a0coal power deals attracted debt exclusively from commercial banks, with one of these deals being a bridge loan.&lt;\/span&gt;<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/Indonesian-public-coal-finance-China-lending.png&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Indonesian public coal finance &#8211; China lending&#8221; force_fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/Indonesian-public-coal-finance-Japan-lending.png&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Indonesian public coal finance &#8211; Japan lending&#8221; force_fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/Indonesian-public-coal-finance-Korea-lending.png&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Indonesian public coal finance &#8211; Korea lending&#8221; force_fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row module_id=&#8221;CJK&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#d8d8d8&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>Greater imperative for China, Japan and Korea to build coal power overseas<\/h3>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The prospects for new build coal power in Korea, Japan and China are limited, as rapidly falling costs of renewable energy, efforts to reduce air pollution, and climate change policy all reduce demand for coal plant technology. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In China, the rise of renewable energy and pollution concerns saw <a href=\"http:\/\/ieefa.org\/ieefa-update-china-now-three-years-past-peak-coal\/\">coal consumption fall<\/a> for a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2017-03-02\/china-coal-cuts-and-renewables-transform-climate-change-leader\/8316660\">third consecutive year<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/newsroom\/news\/2016\/december\/medium-term-coal-market-report-2016.html\">past peak use in 2013<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0China plans to cap coal consumption in 2020, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nrdc.org\/experts\/alvin-lin\/chinas-new-plans-deepen-action-climate-change\">peak its CO2 emissions by 2030<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-china-energy-renewables-idUSKBN14P06P\">invest US$361 billion in renewables by 2020<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0Japan has seen energy efficiency drive down electricity demand over the past 6\u00a0years and further declines will likely result in a scaling back of plans to construct a new coal power fleet. Further, the country is positioned to meet <a href=\"http:\/\/ieefa.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Japan_-Greater-Energy-Security-Through-Renewables-_March-2017.pdf\">35% of electricity needs with renewables by 2030<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0In Korea, coal generates 40% of electricity but this appears set to decline after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/southkorea-politics-energy-idUSL4N1IH13D\">president Moon Jae-in announced the temporary closure of 10 plants, following campaign pledges to shut old plants, review additions and increase the country\u2019s share of renewables<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With opportunities becoming limited in their host countries, Japanese, Korean and Chinese manufacturers are looking for opportunities elsewhere, as is evidenced by statements from analysts and government:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2016\/12\/07\/china-is-outsourcing-its-pollution\/\">As with all industries suffering from overcapacity, China\u2019s coal sector is looking to markets overseas as sources of growth,\u201d says Erica Downs, a senior analyst with the Eurasia Group. China is now the largest exporter of coal power equipment, exporting at twice the rate of the runner-up, Japan. \u201cThis clearly has support from the top,<\/a>\u201d Downs adds.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.politico.eu\/pro\/how-japan-pushes-coal-on-the-world\/amp\/\">Asian and Eastern European countries will introduce coal thermal plants \u2014 no question about it. We cannot stop it. Then who will supply coal thermal technology to them? We can\u2019t make all countries stop using coal\u2026 because coal is very cheap.<\/a>\u201d<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> &#8211; Toshikazu Okuya, Director, Energy Supply and Demand Policy Office, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (Japan).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Export Credit Agencies and Development Banks deliver on this agenda by financing Indonesian coal projects that: (i) employ EPC services (i.e. building plants) from the relevant foreign country; and\/or (ii) are owned by companies domiciled in the foreign country.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ECAs provide loans, guarantees and\/or insurance, which facilitates the purchase of exported coal technology from, for example, Japan via JBIC or China via CEXIM. Development Banks provide finance to the private sector for economic development and are only able to finance projects that\u00a0support their national agenda.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row module_id=&#8221;CJK&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#d8d8d8&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>China and Japan bankrolling projects: Examples<\/h3>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Below are two examples of plants in Indonesia owned and funded by Japanese and Chinese companies, demonstrating how the owner-operator-financier arrangement applies.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;3_5,2_5&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;3_5&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>TJB2 (Japan)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2,000MW Tanjung Jati B 2 (TJB2) coal power expansion in Central Java reached financial close in March 2017. It is 75% owned by Japanese companies Sumitomo Corp (50%), who is also the EPC contractor, and Kansai Electric Power Co. (25%). <a href=\"https:\/\/ijglobal.com\/data\/transaction\/34100\/2000mw-tanjung-jati-b-coal-fired-power-plant-units-5-and-6-ipp\">The deal attracted US$3.36 billion of debt finance, half of which was provided by JBIC. The other half was provided by 7 commercial banks, 6 of which are Japanese. The commercial debt was guaranteed by the Japanese ECA Nippon Export and Investment Insurance (NEXI), which provided 100% political and 90% commercial risk cover<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;2_5&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/Tanjung-Jati-B-Expansion-Project-Unit-3-4.jpg&#8221; title_text=&#8221;tanjung-jati-b-expansion-project-unit-3-4&#8243; force_fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;2_5,3_5&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;2_5&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_map address=&#8221;https:\/\/www.google.com\/maps\/@-5.8445935,106.09841,9z&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_map][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;3_5&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Jawa-7 (China)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2,000MW Jawa-7 coal power station reached financial close in September 2016. It is 70% owned by China Shenhua Energy and 30% by PT Pembangkitan Jawa Bali (a subsidiary of the Indonesian state-owned electric utility PLN). The identity of the EPC is unclear despite <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rambuenergy.com\/2016\/10\/china-shenhua-pjb-sign-financial-deal-us1-8b-for-pltu-jawa-7\/\">reports that construction commenced in April 2016<\/a>. G<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iven the majority owner and all known finance came from China, it is likely the EPC is also Chinese. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pfie.com\/ap-indonesia-java-7-secures-financing\/21266543.article\">The project attracted US$1.8 billion in loans from an all-Chinese banking syndicate led by China Development Bank<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/ijglobal.com\/data\/transaction\/32275\/java-7-coal-fired-power-plant-2000mw-ppp\">also reported here<\/a>).<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row module_id=&#8221;Cirebon2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#d8d8d8&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>Banking without a permit: Cirebon 2<\/h3>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-13365\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Cirebon-300x200-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"480\" height=\"320\" \/>The detachment between interests within Indonesia and foreign financiers was made even more apparent in April 2017, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tribunnews.com\/bisnis\/2017\/04\/18\/mou-pembiayaan-diteken-proyek-pltu-cirebon-ekspansi-segera-konstruksi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">as ECAs JBIC, KEXIM and NEXI signed financing agreements<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0for the 1,000MW Cirebon 2 coal-fired power station in Central Java, a region for which there is a projected oversupply of power. The deal was inked despite a verdict from the Bandung administrative court being due the next day (19 April) pertaining to the environmental status of the project. The court case, filed by The People for Environmental Protection (RAPEL), assisted by the Advocacy Team for Climate Justice in December 2016, resulted in the <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.walhi.or.id\/2017\/04\/20\/court-orders-government-to-revoke-cirebon-coal-power-plant-permit-jbic-should-respect-indonesian-law-and-drop-financing-plans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">revocation of Cirebon 2\u2019s<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> environmental permit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At best, the banks involved in the deal were ignorant of this critical development in a project they were involved in financing. IJGlobal reported the reaction of a lawyer working on the finance deal who:<\/span><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/ijglobal.com\/articles\/105966\/court-revokes-cirebon-2-power-plant-permit-after-financial-close\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2018&#8230;was not aware of this case, and was shocked to hear about the news, especially a day after the plant reached financial close.\u2019<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, it is likely the banks and their staff involved in this deal knew of the risk that the project would lose its environmental permit. The financing agreements therefore appear contemptuous towards the groups attempting to protect their environment from Cirebon 2. The fact that the banks shifted the signing date to the day before the verdict was handed down emphasises this contempt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wahyu Widianto, campaign manager of WALHI West Java said:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.walhi.or.id\/2017\/04\/20\/court-orders-government-to-revoke-cirebon-coal-power-plant-permit-jbic-should-respect-indonesian-law-and-drop-financing-plans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cJBIC and the consortium has signed a loan agreement despite their full knowledge that a civil case to halt the plant\u2019s development was underway. We have sent JBIC a letter informing them of the court case,\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.walhi.or.id\/2017\/04\/20\/court-orders-government-to-revoke-cirebon-coal-power-plant-permit-jbic-should-respect-indonesian-law-and-drop-financing-plans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cSigning the loan agreement on day before the court decision shows a total disrespect for Indonesian laws and even could be seen as an attempt to influence the court. Therefore, JBIC now must drop all financing plans for Cirebon 2\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row module_id=&#8221;Pain&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#d8d8d8&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>Indonesian pain for China, Japan and Korea&#8217;s gain<\/h3>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite the limited prospect of financial returns and limited employment creation in engineering and manufacturing, Indonesia bears a significant burden of the isolated and systemic financial risks of the new coal power stations, along with the environmental and health risks they pose. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For example, although Indonesia owns just over one-third of the 13.1 GW of coal power capacity studied, 100% of the greenhouse gas emissions will be accounted for as part of Indonesia\u2019s national inventory. These emissions are estimated to total <a href=\"http:\/\/endcoal.org\/global-coal-plant-tracker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">in excess of 2.2 billion tonnes of CO2 over the power plants\u2019 operating lives<\/a>,<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu\/overview.php?v=CO2ts1990-2015\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0equivalent to the annual CO2 emissions of India (2.45 billion tonnes)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This figure does not include the Cirebon 2 project, which has not reached financial close but for which <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tribunnews.com\/bisnis\/2017\/04\/18\/mou-pembiayaan-diteken-proyek-pltu-cirebon-ekspansi-segera-konstruksi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">financing documents have been signed<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0Adding the emissions from Cirebon 2 would increase the total from this study by a further <a href=\"http:\/\/endcoal.org\/global-coal-plant-tracker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">165 million tonnes of CO2<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Regardless of which country is ultimately accountable for the emissions, plans to massively expand coal power are at odds with the Paris Climate Change Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to well below two degrees. According to John Roome, Senior Director for Climate Change at the World Bank, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2016\/may\/05\/climate-change-coal-power-asia-world-bank-disaster\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">If all of the business-as-usual coal-fired power plants in India, China, Vietnam and Indonesia all came online that would take up a very significant part \u2013 in fact almost all \u2013 of the carbon budget\u2026 It would make it highly unlikely that we would be able to get to 2\u00b0C<\/a>.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row module_id=&#8221;NewCoal&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#d8d8d8&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>New coal, not necessary<\/h3>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At present <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pressreader.com\/indonesia\/the-jakarta-post\/20170408\/282050506920825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Indonesia has 55 GW of installed electricity generation capacity<\/a>, 56%<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0(31 GW) of which is coal. Indonesia\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rambuenergy.com\/2017\/04\/indonesia-raises-share-of-renewable-energy-to-22-5-in-energy-mix-in-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">plans to expand total capacity to 125 GW by 2025 with coal accounting for 50% (or 62.5 GW)<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0But the availability of other power supply options, and an oversupply of electricity in many areas where new power plants are proposed undermine the argument for constructing new coal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Analysis of Indonesia&#8217;s latest Electricity Supply Business Plan, named <a href=\"http:\/\/www.djk.esdm.go.id\/pdf\/RUPTL\/RUPTL%20PLN%202017-2026\">RUPTL 2017-2026<\/a>, shows that current power expansion plans would result in significant oversupply across a number of Indonesia&#8217;s electricity networks. Specifically, plans would see grid reserve margins across Sumatra, Java-Bali and Kalimantan of an average 60% in 2021 and 59% in 2026. For example, projected peak load in North Sumatra in 2021 is 3,786 MW compared to 7,238 MW of capacity (91% margin), whilst in Java-Bali peak load is projected at 35,722 MW compared with 51,800 MW capacity (45% margin).<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In April 2017 Ignasius Jonan, Minister for Energy and Mineral Resources, stated that\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.republika.co.id\/berita\/ekonomi\/makro\/17\/04\/10\/oo6jl9383-jonan-pulau-jawa-bakal-kelebihan-pasokan-listrik-5-gigawatt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">assuming economic growth of 6%, construction plans are expected to see Java-Bali have excess installed capacity of 5 GW by 2021.<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0Jonan has stated he will not sign power purchase agreements\u00a0for Java-Bali moving forward, resulting in the <a href=\"http:\/\/ekonomi.metrotvnews.com\/energi\/0kpJLV7N-pln-tidak-disetujui-tanda-tangan-ppa-listrik-di-jawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">indefinite postponement of 9 GW of planned capacity<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Indonesia can meet its future energy needs through renewables. The 2017-2026 RUPTL\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rambuenergy.com\/2017\/04\/indonesia-raises-share-of-renewable-energy-to-22-5-in-energy-mix-in-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">raised the country\u2019s renewable energy target to 22.5% of electricity supplied by 2025 from a previous 19.6%<\/a>,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0demonstrating a willingness and ability to increase the country&#8217;s renewables capacity. Further, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.irena.org\/menu\/index.aspx?mnu=Subcat&amp;PriMenuID=36&amp;CatID=141&amp;SubcatID=3826\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Indonesia could feasibly exceed its current goals and deploy even more renewables. In fact, the country could reach its 2050 target two decades sooner \u2013 by 2030.<\/a>\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row module_id=&#8221;methodology&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_divider color=&#8221;#d8d8d8&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||4px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>Methodology<\/h3>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.19.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Market Forces examined 22 financial deals comprising a debt component, across 21 coal power projects, with a financial close date from 1 January 2010 onward, expressly for the development of coal-fired power stations in Indonesia. The most recent deal included in this research reached financial close in March 2017.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The full list of coal power finance deals included in this study is available\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Indonesia-Public-Finance-deals.pdf\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deals were identified via investigation of subscription-based financial databases provided by IJGlobal and Thomson Reuters and reports published by organisations including:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Climate Policy Institute (CPI)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Environmental Defense Fund (EDF)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Graduate School of Public Policy (GraSPP) at the University of Tokyo<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Natural Resources Defence Council (NRDC)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sourcewatch (The Center for Media and Democracy)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Company reports and media releases<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Where financial information was identified, it was cross-referenced with the sources listed above, media reports and other financial journals. Where material information between sources was inconsistent or unavailable, a determination was made to attempt to reflect the true state of the deal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lending for the purposes of refinancing existing debt, corporate acquisitions, or acquisitions of existing assets were excluded from the study. Where the source of funds was unknown, lending was excluded. All lending amounts are reported in US Dollars (USD) unless stated otherwise. Lending amounts are as at the date of financial close and aggregated figures were reached by adding these amounts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ARCHIVED CONTENT This content is no longer being updated. Foreign finance to Indonesian coal Overview Public finance plays a critical role Foreign interests = foreign finance The motivation for China, Japan and Korea Examples Banking without a permit: Cirebon 2 Indonesian pain for foreign gain New coal, not necessary methodology The foreign financial sources behind [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":14329,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"template-blank-4.php","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"[cs_content][cs_section bg_image=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Adaro-Tutupan.jpg\" bg_color=\"hsla(297, 15%, 23%, 0.25)\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 45px 0px 20px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h2\" looks_like=\"h2\" accent=\"false\" class=\"cs-ta-left ftfheading\" style=\"color: hsl(0, 0%, 100%);\"]Foreign finance to Indonesian coal[\/x_custom_headline][cs_text class=\"cs-ta-left jump-to-contents\" style=\"margin-top:20px;\"]<a href=\"#overview\">Overview<\/a>\n<a href=\"#research\">Public finance plays a critical role<\/a>\n<a href=\"#foreign\">Foreign interests = foreign finance<\/a>\n<a href=\"#CJK\">The motivation for China, Japan and Korea<\/a>\n<a href=\"#Examples\">Examples<\/a>\n<a href=\"#Cirebon2\">Banking without a permit: Cirebon 2<\/a>\n<a href=\"#Pain\">Indonesian pain for foreign gain<\/a>\n<a href=\"#NewCoal\">New coal, not necessary<\/a>\n<a href=\"#methodology\">methodology<\/a>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"overview\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\"]The foreign financial sources behind Indonesia\u2019s unnecessary coal expansion\n[\/x_custom_headline][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The finance behind Indonesia\u2019s plans to build up to 31 gigawatts of new coal power capacity is overwhelmingly from foreign sources, most notably China, Japan and Korea. Public institutions such as export credit agencies play a critical role in de-risking coal power projects. They shoulder a significant burden of the credit exposure for new Indonesian coal power stations to the point where such projects would be unlikely to proceed without foreign government-backed\u00a0finance.<\/span>\n\n<b>Summary:<\/b>\n<ul>\n \t<li>This analysis reviewed deals comprising debt finance to 21 coal power projects with a combined capacity of 13.1GW, which reached financial close from January 2010 to March 2017.<\/li>\n \t<li>Export Credit Agencies participated in 64% of deals and loaned 45% of total debt.<\/li>\n \t<li>Bilateral Development Banks participated in 27% of deals, lending 19% of overall debt.<\/li>\n \t<li>The power plants studies were majority foreign owned. 51% of the overall project value was owned by Japanese and Chinese companies, with\u00a039% Indonesian-owned.<\/li>\n \t<li>Indonesia bears much of the financial, environmental and health risk associated with these new plants, many of which will exacerbate oversupply of the electricity networks in which they're to be integrated.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">China, Japan and Korea are constraining domestic plans to expand coal power. As a result, export markets for plant manufacturers are becoming increasingly important. Indonesia's <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">coal expansion plans present an opportunity for foreign manufacturers producers, able to mobilise public finance sources to facilitate the export of their technology.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The result is an expansion of polluting power that benefits a handful of domestic and foreign interests, while putting the health and livelihoods of communities at risk. Constructing these new power stations would also contribute to an anticipated oversupply of power in Indonesia, further undermining their justification.\u00a0<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"research\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 5px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\" style=\"margin-top:0px;\"]Public finance plays a critical role\n[\/x_custom_headline][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/2\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Market Forces studied a total of 22 deals to the coal power sector in Indonesia since 2010, which attracted a total of US$17.1 billion of debt. Of these, Export Credit Agencies (ECAs) and Bilateral Development Banks were integral\u00a0financiers, involved in 91% of the deals and providing 64% of the debt finance.<\/span>\n\n<i><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Specifically, regarding the roles of ECAs, Bilateral Development Banks and commercial banks: <\/span>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>ECAs were involved in 14 of 22 deals, lending $7.64 billion<\/strong>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Almost all of this debt (99.6%)\u00a0was provided by overseas ECAs<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) was involved in 5 deals, providing 64% of ECA lending<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Export-Import Bank of China (CEXIM) was involved in 7 deals, representing 31% of ECA loans<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Bilateral Development Banks were involved in 6 deals, lending $3.30 billion<\/strong>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">China Development Bank was involved in 5 deals, lending 93% of Bilateral Development Bank debt<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Korea Development Bank participated in 1 deal, providing 7% of Bilateral Development Bank debt<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Commercial banks were involved in 13 deals, providing $6.14 billion<\/strong>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">95% of commercial debt was provided from banks outside of Indonesia<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57% of commercial debt was provided by Japanese banks over 7 deals<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14% of commercial debt was provided by Chinese banks over 4 deals<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10% of commercial debt was provided by Singaporean banks over 5 deals<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Indonesia\u2019s share of lending to these deals was exceedingly small, accounting for just $347 million or 2% of overall debt over 2 deals. One of these deals involved Indonesia Eximbank and the other involved Bank Mandiri. <\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/2\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][cs_text style=\"background-color:rgba(67, 50, 68, 0.1);\"]<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><b>Total<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>ECA \/ Bilateral Development Bank involvement<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>No. coal power deals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">22<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">91% (20 deals)<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Total lending value<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$17.1 billion<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">64% ($10.9 billion)<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>[\/cs_text][cs_text style=\"margin-top:-20px;\"]<small>Table: Number of coal deals and value of debt identified in this study, with involvement of export credit agencies (ECA) and Bilateral Development Banks highlighted.<\/small>[\/cs_text][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h5\" looks_like=\"h5\" accent=\"false\"]Finance sources for Indonesian coal power January 2010 - March 2017[\/x_custom_headline][x_image type=\"none\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Lending-source.png\" alt=\"\" link=\"false\" href=\"#\" title=\"\" target=\"\" info=\"none\" info_place=\"top\" info_trigger=\"hover\" info_content=\"\"][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"foreign\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 5px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\" style=\"margin-top:0px;\"]Foreign ownership + foreign engineers = foreign finance[\/x_custom_headline][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/2\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The overwhelming proportion\u00a0of finance coming from sources foreign to Indonesia is a product of the power stations being predominantly owned by non-Indonesian countries, and almost exclusively built by engineering contractors from outside of Indonesia. <\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Of the 13.1GW of coal power capacity covered by this analysis, 51% was owned by Japanese and Chinese companies, with 39% Indonesian ownership. Indonesia\u2019s state-owned utility PLN had an overall ownership stake in the projects studied of 15%, with other Indonesian companies owning 24%.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Of the 4 power projects involving Japanese sponsors, all attracted Japanese ECA guarantees and loans. Japanese engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors were involved in 3 of these projects. Japanese EPCs were involved in 4 power projects in total, including one sponsored by Indonesia\u2019s PLN.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Of the 7 power projects backed by Chinese sponsors, 6 attracted loans from Chinese public finance institutions, 4 attracted Chinese commercial lending and all attracted lending from either one or the other (or both). At least 5 of these 7 projects involved Chinese EPCs, whilst the identity of the EPCs was unclear for the remaining 2. Chinese EPCs were prevalent, involved in 13 of the 21 coal power projects studied.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4 of the 21 power projects studied had no Chinese or Japanese EPC involvement. 2 involved Korean EPCs and 2 involved Indonesian EPCs (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.dcengineering.asia\/dnc-new\/index.php?about\">one of these Indonesian EPCs partners with a Chinese EPC for technical support<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">). Another 2\u00a0plants employed unknown EPCs, though it\u2019s suspected these were Chinese as both were sponsored by Chinese companies and attracted all known finance from Chinese banks.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Foreign commercial banks tend to play the role of completing a syndicate that is largely de-risked and underwritten by the ECA\u00a0of the same country. Of the 11 coal power deals with both commercial and public bank lending, 9 involved commercial and public banks from the same country. Only 2\u00a0coal power deals attracted debt exclusively from commercial banks, with one of these deals being a bridge loan.<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/2\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_image type=\"none\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/Indonesian-public-coal-finance-China-lending.png\" alt=\"\" link=\"false\" href=\"#\" title=\"\" target=\"\" info=\"none\" info_place=\"top\" info_trigger=\"hover\" info_content=\"\"][x_image type=\"none\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/Indonesian-public-coal-finance-Japan-lending.png\" alt=\"\" link=\"false\" href=\"#\" title=\"\" target=\"\" info=\"none\" info_place=\"top\" info_trigger=\"hover\" info_content=\"\"][x_image type=\"none\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/Indonesian-public-coal-finance-Korea-lending.png\" alt=\"\" link=\"false\" href=\"#\" title=\"\" target=\"\" info=\"none\" info_place=\"top\" info_trigger=\"hover\" info_content=\"\"][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"CJK\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 5px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\" style=\"margin-top:0px;\"]Greater imperative for China, Japan and Korea to build coal power overseas\n[\/x_custom_headline][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The prospects for new build coal power in Korea, Japan and China are limited, as rapidly falling costs of renewable energy, efforts to reduce air pollution, and climate change policy all reduce demand for coal plant technology. <\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In China, the rise of renewable energy and pollution concerns saw <a href=\"http:\/\/ieefa.org\/ieefa-update-china-now-three-years-past-peak-coal\/\">coal consumption fall<\/a> for a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2017-03-02\/china-coal-cuts-and-renewables-transform-climate-change-leader\/8316660\">third consecutive year<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/newsroom\/news\/2016\/december\/medium-term-coal-market-report-2016.html\">past peak use in 2013<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0China plans to cap coal consumption in 2020, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nrdc.org\/experts\/alvin-lin\/chinas-new-plans-deepen-action-climate-change\">peak its CO2 emissions by 2030<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-china-energy-renewables-idUSKBN14P06P\">invest US$361 billion in renewables by 2020<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0Japan has seen energy efficiency drive down electricity demand over the past 6\u00a0years and further declines will likely result in a scaling back of plans to construct a new coal power fleet. Further, the country is positioned to meet <a href=\"http:\/\/ieefa.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Japan_-Greater-Energy-Security-Through-Renewables-_March-2017.pdf\">35% of electricity needs with renewables by 2030<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0In Korea, coal generates 40% of electricity but this appears set to decline after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/southkorea-politics-energy-idUSL4N1IH13D\">president Moon Jae-in announced the temporary closure of 10 plants, following campaign pledges to shut old plants, review additions and increase the country\u2019s share of renewables<\/a>.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With opportunities becoming limited in their host countries, Japanese, Korean and Chinese manufacturers are looking for opportunities elsewhere, as is evidenced by statements from analysts and government:<\/span>\n\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2016\/12\/07\/china-is-outsourcing-its-pollution\/\">As with all industries suffering from overcapacity, China\u2019s coal sector is looking to markets overseas as sources of growth,\u201d says Erica Downs, a senior analyst with the Eurasia Group. China is now the largest exporter of coal power equipment, exporting at twice the rate of the runner-up, Japan. \u201cThis clearly has support from the top,<\/a>\u201d Downs adds.<\/span><\/i>\n\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.politico.eu\/pro\/how-japan-pushes-coal-on-the-world\/amp\/\">Asian and Eastern European countries will introduce coal thermal plants \u2014 no question about it. We cannot stop it. Then who will supply coal thermal technology to them? We can\u2019t make all countries stop using coal\u2026 because coal is very cheap.<\/a>\u201d<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> - Toshikazu Okuya, Director, Energy Supply and Demand Policy Office, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (Japan).<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Export Credit Agencies and Development Banks deliver on this agenda by financing Indonesian coal projects that: (i) employ EPC services (i.e. building plants) from the relevant foreign country; and\/or (ii) are owned by companies domiciled in the foreign country.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ECAs provide loans, guarantees and\/or insurance, which facilitates the purchase of exported coal technology from, for example, Japan via JBIC or China via CEXIM. Development Banks provide finance to the private sector for economic development and are only able to finance projects that\u00a0support their national agenda.<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"Examples\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 5px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\" style=\"margin-top:0px;\"]China and Japan bankrolling projects: Examples[\/x_custom_headline][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Below are two examples of plants in Indonesia owned and funded by Japanese and Chinese companies, demonstrating how the owner-operator-financier arrangement applies.<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"2\/3\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][cs_text]<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>TJB2 (Japan)<\/strong><\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2,000MW Tanjung Jati B 2 (TJB2) coal power expansion in Central Java reached financial close in March 2017. It is 75% owned by Japanese companies Sumitomo Corp (50%), who is also the EPC contractor, and Kansai Electric Power Co. (25%). <a href=\"https:\/\/ijglobal.com\/data\/transaction\/34100\/2000mw-tanjung-jati-b-coal-fired-power-plant-units-5-and-6-ipp\">The deal attracted US$3.36 billion of debt finance, half of which was provided by JBIC. The other half was provided by 7 commercial banks, 6 of which are Japanese. The commercial debt was guaranteed by the Japanese ECA Nippon Export and Investment Insurance (NEXI), which provided 100% political and 90% commercial risk cover<\/a>.<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/3\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_image type=\"none\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/Tanjung-Jati-B-Expansion-Project-Unit-3-4.jpg\" alt=\"\" link=\"false\" href=\"#\" title=\"\" target=\"\" info=\"none\" info_place=\"top\" info_trigger=\"hover\" info_content=\"\"][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/3\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_google_map api_key=\"\" lat=\"-5.991659\" lng=\"106.100875\" zoom=\"9\" zoom_control=\"true\" drag=\"true\" height=\"\" hue=\"false\" no_container=\"false\" ][x_google_map_marker lat=\"-5.991659\" lng=\"106.100875\" start_open=\"true\" info=\"Jawa-7 Construction site\" image=\"\"][\/x_google_map][\/cs_column][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"2\/3\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][cs_text]<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Jawa-7 (China)<\/strong><\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2,000MW Jawa-7 coal power station reached financial close in September 2016. It is 70% owned by China Shenhua Energy and 30% by PT Pembangkitan Jawa Bali (a subsidiary of the Indonesian state-owned electric utility PLN). The identity of the EPC is unclear despite <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rambuenergy.com\/2016\/10\/china-shenhua-pjb-sign-financial-deal-us1-8b-for-pltu-jawa-7\/\">reports that construction commenced in April 2016<\/a>. G<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iven the majority owner and all known finance came from China, it is likely the EPC is also Chinese. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pfie.com\/ap-indonesia-java-7-secures-financing\/21266543.article\">The project attracted US$1.8 billion in loans from an all-Chinese banking syndicate led by China Development Bank<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/ijglobal.com\/data\/transaction\/32275\/java-7-coal-fired-power-plant-2000mw-ppp\">also reported here<\/a>).<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"Cirebon2\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 5px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\" style=\"margin-top:0px;\"]Banking without a permit: Cirebon 2\n\n[\/x_custom_headline][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><img class=\"alignright wp-image-13365\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/Cirebon--300x200.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"480\" height=\"320\" \/>The detachment between interests within Indonesia and foreign financiers was made even more apparent in April 2017, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tribunnews.com\/bisnis\/2017\/04\/18\/mou-pembiayaan-diteken-proyek-pltu-cirebon-ekspansi-segera-konstruksi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">as ECAs JBIC, KEXIM and NEXI signed financing agreements<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0for the 1,000MW Cirebon 2 coal-fired power station in Central Java, a region for which there is a projected oversupply of power. The deal was inked despite a verdict from the Bandung administrative court being due the next day (19 April) pertaining to the environmental status of the project. The court case, filed by The People for Environmental Protection (RAPEL), assisted by the Advocacy Team for Climate Justice in December 2016, resulted in the <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.walhi.or.id\/2017\/04\/20\/court-orders-government-to-revoke-cirebon-coal-power-plant-permit-jbic-should-respect-indonesian-law-and-drop-financing-plans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">revocation of Cirebon 2\u2019s<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> environmental permit.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At best, the banks involved in the deal were ignorant of this critical development in a project they were involved in financing. IJGlobal reported the reaction of a lawyer working on the finance deal who:<\/span>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/ijglobal.com\/articles\/105966\/court-revokes-cirebon-2-power-plant-permit-after-financial-close\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2018...was not aware of this case, and was shocked to hear about the news, especially a day after the plant reached financial close.\u2019<\/span><\/i><\/a>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, it is likely the banks and their staff involved in this deal knew of the risk that the project would lose its environmental permit. The financing agreements therefore appear contemptuous towards the groups attempting to protect their environment from Cirebon 2. The fact that the banks shifted the signing date to the day before the verdict was handed down emphasises this contempt.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wahyu Widianto, campaign manager of WALHI West Java said:<\/span>\n\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.walhi.or.id\/2017\/04\/20\/court-orders-government-to-revoke-cirebon-coal-power-plant-permit-jbic-should-respect-indonesian-law-and-drop-financing-plans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cJBIC and the consortium has signed a loan agreement despite their full knowledge that a civil case to halt the plant\u2019s development was underway. We have sent JBIC a letter informing them of the court case,\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/a>\n\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.walhi.or.id\/2017\/04\/20\/court-orders-government-to-revoke-cirebon-coal-power-plant-permit-jbic-should-respect-indonesian-law-and-drop-financing-plans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cSigning the loan agreement on day before the court decision shows a total disrespect for Indonesian laws and even could be seen as an attempt to influence the court. Therefore, JBIC now must drop all financing plans for Cirebon 2\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/a>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"Pain\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 5px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\" style=\"margin-top:0px;\"]Indonesian pain for China, Japan and Korea's gain[\/x_custom_headline][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite the limited prospect of financial returns and limited employment creation in engineering and manufacturing, Indonesia bears a significant burden of the isolated and systemic financial risks of the new coal power stations, along with the environmental and health risks they pose. <\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For example, although Indonesia owns just over one-third of the 13.1 GW of coal power capacity studied, 100% of the greenhouse gas emissions will be accounted for as part of Indonesia\u2019s national inventory. These emissions are estimated to total <a href=\"http:\/\/endcoal.org\/global-coal-plant-tracker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">in excess of 2.2 billion tonnes of CO2 over the power plants\u2019 operating lives<\/a>,<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu\/overview.php?v=CO2ts1990-2015\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0equivalent to the annual CO2 emissions of India (2.45 billion tonnes)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This figure does not include the Cirebon 2 project, which has not reached financial close but for which <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tribunnews.com\/bisnis\/2017\/04\/18\/mou-pembiayaan-diteken-proyek-pltu-cirebon-ekspansi-segera-konstruksi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">financing documents have been signed<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0Adding the emissions from Cirebon 2 would increase the total from this study by a further <a href=\"http:\/\/endcoal.org\/global-coal-plant-tracker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">165 million tonnes of CO2<\/a>.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Regardless of which country is ultimately accountable for the emissions, plans to massively expand coal power are at odds with the Paris Climate Change Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to well below two degrees. According to John Roome, Senior Director for Climate Change at the World Bank, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2016\/may\/05\/climate-change-coal-power-asia-world-bank-disaster\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">If all of the business-as-usual coal-fired power plants in India, China, Vietnam and Indonesia all came online that would take up a very significant part \u2013 in fact almost all \u2013 of the carbon budget\u2026 It would make it highly unlikely that we would be able to get to 2\u00b0C<\/a>.\u201d<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"NewCoal\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 5px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\" style=\"margin-top:0px;\"]New coal, not necessary[\/x_custom_headline][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At present <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pressreader.com\/indonesia\/the-jakarta-post\/20170408\/282050506920825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Indonesia has 55 GW of installed electricity generation capacity<\/a>, 56%<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0(31 GW) of which is coal. Indonesia\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rambuenergy.com\/2017\/04\/indonesia-raises-share-of-renewable-energy-to-22-5-in-energy-mix-in-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">plans to expand total capacity to 125 GW by 2025 with coal accounting for 50% (or 62.5 GW)<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0But the availability of other power supply options, and an oversupply of electricity in many areas where new power plants are proposed undermine the argument for constructing new coal.<\/span>\n\nAnalysis of Indonesia's latest Electricity Supply Business Plan, named <a href=\"http:\/\/www.djk.esdm.go.id\/pdf\/RUPTL\/RUPTL%20PLN%202017-2026\">RUPTL 2017-2026<\/a>, shows that current power expansion plans would result in significant oversupply across a number of Indonesia's electricity networks. Specifically, plans would see grid reserve margins across Sumatra, Java-Bali and Kalimantan of an average 60% in 2021 and 59% in 2026. For example, projected peak load in North Sumatra in 2021 is 3,786 MW compared to 7,238 MW of capacity (91% margin), whilst in Java-Bali peak load is projected at 35,722 MW compared with 51,800 MW capacity (45% margin).\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In April 2017 Ignasius Jonan, Minister for Energy and Mineral Resources, stated that\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.republika.co.id\/berita\/ekonomi\/makro\/17\/04\/10\/oo6jl9383-jonan-pulau-jawa-bakal-kelebihan-pasokan-listrik-5-gigawatt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">assuming economic growth of 6%, construction plans are expected to see Java-Bali have excess installed capacity of 5 GW by 2021.<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0Jonan has stated he will not sign power purchase agreements\u00a0for Java-Bali moving forward, resulting in the <a href=\"http:\/\/ekonomi.metrotvnews.com\/energi\/0kpJLV7N-pln-tidak-disetujui-tanda-tangan-ppa-listrik-di-jawa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">indefinite postponement of 9 GW of planned capacity<\/a>.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Indonesia can meet its future energy needs through renewables. The 2017-2026 RUPTL\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rambuenergy.com\/2017\/04\/indonesia-raises-share-of-renewable-energy-to-22-5-in-energy-mix-in-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">raised the country\u2019s renewable energy target to 22.5% of electricity supplied by 2025 from a previous 19.6%<\/a>,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0demonstrating a willingness and ability to increase the country's renewables capacity. Further, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.irena.org\/menu\/index.aspx?mnu=Subcat&amp;PriMenuID=36&amp;CatID=141&amp;SubcatID=3826\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Indonesia could feasibly exceed its current goals and deploy even more renewables. In fact, the country could reach its 2050 target two decades sooner \u2013 by 2030.<\/a>\u201d<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][cs_section id=\"methodology\" parallax=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 5px;\"][cs_row inner_container=\"true\" marginless_columns=\"false\" style=\"margin: 0px auto;padding: 0px;\"][cs_column fade=\"false\" fade_animation=\"in\" fade_animation_offset=\"45px\" fade_duration=\"750\" type=\"1\/1\" style=\"padding: 0px;\"][x_line style=\"border-top-width: 1px;\"][x_custom_headline level=\"h4\" looks_like=\"h4\" accent=\"false\" style=\"margin-top:0px;\"]Methodology\n[\/x_custom_headline][cs_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Market Forces examined 22 financial deals comprising a debt component, across 21 coal power projects, with a financial close date from 1 January 2010 onward, expressly for the development of coal-fired power stations in Indonesia. The most recent deal included in this research reached financial close in March 2017.<\/span>\n\nThe full list of coal power finance deals included in this study is available\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Indonesia-Public-Finance-deals.pdf\">here<\/a>.\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deals were identified via investigation of subscription-based financial databases provided by IJGlobal and Thomson Reuters and reports published by organisations including:<\/span>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Climate Policy Institute (CPI)<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Environmental Defense Fund (EDF)<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Graduate School of Public Policy (GraSPP) at the University of Tokyo<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Natural Resources Defence Council (NRDC)<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sourcewatch (The Center for Media and Democracy)<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Company reports and media releases<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Where financial information was identified, it was cross-referenced with the sources listed above, media reports and other financial journals. Where material information between sources was inconsistent or unavailable, a determination was made to attempt to reflect the true state of the deal.<\/span>\n\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lending for the purposes of refinancing existing debt, corporate acquisitions, or acquisitions of existing assets were excluded from the study. Where the source of funds was unknown, lending was excluded. All lending amounts are reported in US Dollars (USD) unless stated otherwise. Lending amounts are as at the date of financial close and aggregated figures were reached by adding these amounts.<\/span>[\/cs_text][\/cs_column][\/cs_row][\/cs_section][\/cs_content]","_et_gb_content_width":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-16587","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Public finance to Indonesian coal - Market Forces<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketforces.org.au\/research\/indonesia\/public-finance-to-indonesian-coal\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Public finance to Indonesian coal - Market Forces\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ARCHIVED CONTENT This content is no longer being updated. 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